Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Ballgame

It's 10:02 EST.

Ballgame: Obama wins.

It's 207-128 according to NBC News right now, and for me that's it. Calif. has 55 electoral delegates, giving him 262, and there's Washington and Oregon that will side with him so this game is over.

I'm not too far off with the way I looked at it. Some states are being called a lot sooner than I expected, but they are still going the way I thought.

Now it should be interesting to see how the local elections go.

Monday, November 3, 2008

Election Preview

With the help of the CNN map, here's my prediction for the 2008 election as of 9:47 EST on Monday, Nov. 3

Obama 329
McCain 209

Here's my idea
Obama: Maine, New Hamp., Vermont, Conn., Mass., RI., New Jersey, Maryland, Washington, D.C., Delaware, New York, Penn. (late count, Obama edges McCain in the end), Virginia, Florida, Michigan, Wisconsin, Illinois

McCain: W. Va.,Ohio (upset), North Carolina, S. Car., Georgia, Miss., Alabama, Ark., Ken., Tenn., Ind.

At this point, by the time the race hits the Mississippi River, it's 205-108. Game over. Calif. has 55 votes, putting Obama at 260. with Washington and Oregon at 18 votes, giving Obama 278. That's without Hawaii, Colorado, New Mexico or Nevada in the west. That's more than enough.

This is either a race where McCain has a tie by the River, or it's settled by the river. There's no in between.